Posts Tagged ‘A different side of medicine’

SURVEYING THE DOMAIN…AND THE RANGE

February 2, 2014

“You have been selected at random….”  I do not enjoy hearing these six words.  A survey.  Two more often used here that push my buttons are “team” and “professional.”

Customer satisfaction has taught at B-schools for a long time, although businesses have done a lot to hurt it, such as the average experience one has calling a business, or just in time inventory, which isn’t (“that will be here in 3 business days.”)  Surveys are now frequent.  I don’t like the questions or the choices; while I buy the product, I don’t buy the inferences they might make from a survey.

Recently, I got three.  Two were from Comcast, following as many calls during an e-mail outage.  If I agree to complete a survey, I get through faster to a human being.  Try it some time. I contacted Comcast twice, later receiving two surveys, answering the second.  By not responding to the first I hurt the assumption of randomness, required for a decent survey.

Comcast told me the survey would take 2 minutes.  There were questions about my satisfaction, having my the question answered, professionalism (undefined, desperately in need of definition today), offering the Website as a source of information (incredibly dumb, if there is an Internet outage), and others.  I hung up at 2 minutes.  They said two minutes, and I gave them two. The other was from Peace Health, which I almost tossed, but decided to fill it out.  There were about 35 questions, too many, so a 3 or a 4 on a Likert Scale didn’t matter a whit to me.  I don’t like averaging Likert scales, either.  Two “5”s and two “1” s average to an “average,” but it suggests there are huge differences in customer satisfaction.

Twenty years ago, medical director of a hospital, I learned we spent $100,000 annually on quarterly surveys, arriving on glossy paper, with nice colors, like a dressed up pig:  pretty, but still a pig.  Only I read them.  I know that, because I went to the Executive Meetings at the hospital and asked a good question:  “How many have read this?”  And a second:  “Has anything changed as a result?”  Answers: No, and nothing, respectively.  The survey asked patients whether their food was hot.  If a patient had 10 meals and 7 were hot, what should they answer?  The survey asked whether the physician or nurse was professional, whatever that means, especially if the patient had several of each.  The return rate was about 5%, and even before I got my stats Master’s, I knew the figure was meaningless.

I proposed a different approach:  we hire one person, far less than $100K including benefits, ditch the company, and call 100 discharged patients every month, picked at random, with all replying, or the non-reply would be considered the worst possible.  This is worthwhile and it conservatively estimates how well one is doing.  We asked three questions:

  1. Did you like the care?  Yes/No.
  2. Would you recommend us to a friend?  Yes/No
  3. What suggestions do you have?

We didn’t learn about hot food, but care results could now be inferred to all patients, and we received good suggestions, too. People will toss most 6 page surveys; three questions from a human might be answered.

I tried this at a hospital in Las Cruces, told that time made a difference when you surveyed, whether the day of discharge or 6 weeks later.  I countered: if people didn’t respond to a random sample, or responded to a call 6 weeks later, the results were worthless.  I lost.

I tried it with the medical society, where we had success. We randomly surveyed primary care physicians about colonic cancer screening with two dichotomous questions, only two.  We used 90% confidence intervals and margins of error of 10%.  This wasn’t Bush v. Gore; this had to do with recommending screening for colon cancer.  The large margin of error and the small confidence interval decreased the needed sample size to about 70, manageable, and we had the finite population correction factor, which helped further.  The latter means that if the sample is a large enough percentage of the population, the sample itself is a significant part of the population: less error.

Confidence intervals are given in percent.  A 90% confidence interval means one is 90% confident the true value is contained in the interval.  The true value (parameter) is unknown and unknowable; the interval either does or does not contain it, so probability is irrelevant.  A 100 similar samples generate 100 confidence intervals, 90 contain the parameter.  Which 90?  We don’t know.

We sent the questionnaires by mail and called those offices or physicians who didn’t reply.  It worked.  We got all but 1 response, worthwhile.  We made inferences to all primary care physicians in the Medical Society with high confidence and reasonable error. Cost?  Small.

A decade later, I was asked to help in a survey about insurance companies.  Unfortunately, too many questions were asked, because “all were important.”  They weren’t. The response rate to the survey was poor, and physicians who were supposed to call their colleagues didn’t. I was asked to call; I replied as the statistician, I was not carrying the flag for what I considered a suboptimal survey, which should have taken a quarter year to complete but instead a quarter of a decade.  Really.  When I performed two sample proportion tests, a physician asked me whether it were the right test.  I resisted asking him if he performed the right tests on his patients.

If you want a good survey, randomize, ask 1 or 2 questions, use 90% confidence intervals and high margins of error.  Randomize a thousand or a a hundred thousand people, sample 100, obtain all responses, and you will have 90% confidence that the true result for the million is within 8-9% of your point estimate, your sample result. I can prove it mathematically. Do you need 80% +/- 2%?  Or can you live with 60% +/- 9%?  I submit the latter is useful.  Want more information? Ask two more questions and survey another 100 at random. The expected value is 1 in 10,000 will be called twice.

Sampling is an incredibly powerful technique, but it has to be used carefully.  Read a newspaper article sometime and note how percentage of respondents gradually becomes percentage of people.  That is incorrect.

Please act on the results.  If the survey sits in an office unread, it wastes time and money.  Asking for suggestions is useful to generate good ideas. If you want to call everybody afterwards, don’t ask how professional their people are.  Ask only how you can do better.  Trust me, you will hear a lot.  People like to answer that question.  Then it is your turn.

Act on the suggestions.

THANKS, “PRE,” YOU ARE STILL AN INSPIRATION

January 29, 2014

It was crazy, I knew it was, but I needed to do it.  I was depressed, it was raining hard outside, 39 F. (4 C.), but I decided to go for a 3 mile (5 km) run.  I live in Eugene; Track Town, USA, home of the Olympic Trials, NCAA championships, and a runner’s mecca.  I’ve camped in pouring rain many times; I can certainly run in this weather. I MUST run in it today.

Earlier, I got a video link from a friend showing how a former Attorney General in New Jersey used a data-driven approach to reduce crime.  I was depressed, mostly because I was jealous of her data-driven success, something for 3 decades I never could achieve.  Jealousy is one of the seven deadly sins.

I put on sweats, my rain jacket, a neck warmer, hat and hood, and went out.  I wondered if I would see others running, but it didn’t matter.  I was out there, running.  I needed to goAt the outset, I should have walked, but I immediately started running, not fast, but I wasn’t walking.

This video was on TED, and I usually look at links or books people recommend to me.  As a result, I learn a lot. I seldom, however, send links or recommend books to others, despite the fact I do a great deal of reading in both English and German.

I soon reached Alton Baker Park, feet wet, and just a bit cold, but my wool socks would soon warm me up.  This wasn’t bad so far, but it was raining harder.  Let’s see what happens.

The reason I seldom send anybody anything is I have sadly noted  that almost nobody, and I mean that word, nobody, has ever looked at any of my reading recommendations. Seldom has anybody asked for my recommendation, and I doubt those who did ever followed through.  It was discouraging, because as I learned from others, I got the feeling that others felt I have read nothing important. I taught myself to read when I was 3.

I haven’t been able to run at all for 3 months, because I had patellar tendonitis, which I had never had in 50 years of running.  I missed running.  This past week, I started again, first 100 steps at a time, 4 or 5 times.  It went well.  I walked 10 miles a day.  So far, so good, as I headed towards the Willamette River.

I recommended a New Yorker article about the new ecosystem discovered in the crown of California Redwoods, and it was unread. Same with Our Darkening Ocean, a must read in my opinion. The Khan Academy depresses me, because the man is brilliant, but basically does what I am capable of doing, but was unable to do.  I couldn’t even get local schools interested in my many skills, despite extensive efforts.

Within days, I was running 200, 300, 500, and 600 steps at a time.  It felt great.  Today, in the rain, I decided to go for 1000 when I hit the Pre-trail.  Steve Prefontaine died far too young, but I bet he would have been happy to see an old guy running in the rain.  And loving it.

When I was on the Medical Society Board of Directors, one of my detractors always gave me “reading assignments,” which I called them.  When people came to the monthly meeting, that individual was greeted warmly.  I wasn’t, but rather given articles to read, most of which I either knew about or was trying to implement.  I got the sense others felt I didn’t know much, and if I would only read these myriad books and articles, I would become more knowledgable.

I didn’t see another runner, but now my feet were warm, and I was cruising.  Five hundred steps, 600, 800, and 1000.  Wow, that wasn’t bad at all.  Nobody out here, and it is wide open and not dark, just raining. 

I was counting complications in carotid artery surgery (CEA) in my hospital in 1984, and I am interested whether hospitals track the following: CEA complication rate, non-elective readmission within 15 or 30 days, clean case wound infection rate; percentage of pre-operative antibiotics given within the proper time window, and the number of deaths where a significant medical error was causal. I tracked the first four 18 years ago and espoused the last in 2001, believing all are decent indicators of medical quality.  Yes, I know others, too.

The Pre-Trail is long, so I thought I’d do another 1000 steps.  No problem.  No runners, either.  Wow, am I crazy?  No, I am having fun in the rain, like a kid!

For those who are concerned about obesity, do you know the percentage of obese 6th graders in one district in your local school system?  I knew it in Tucson in 2010.  It was easy; the data were obtained, I analyzed them, and the results frightening.  I showed the results to the administrators.  They assured me there would be a meeting with other district superintendents. I never heard another word; the Medical Society’s Executive Director wrote, also hearing nothing.

I’ve always been a kid, curious.  Maybe that’s why I read what people send me,  until I either finish it or find it so poorly written or wrong that I stop.  I will read climate change articles until the first pejorative word.  Then I’m done.  It has never, and I mean never, taken long.  Sometimes, I don’t get past the title.

I am now out of date, but I wonder if medicine has a reporting system for medical errors akin to aviation.  We do not have a decent estimate of deaths with a known margin of error (a necessary requirement for every estimate), and with simple sampling techniques, we could know.  I promulgated this from 2001 until I quit in 2006.  Sadly, I was not an attorney general.

I left the Pre trail, went to MLK Blvd. and headed home.  Wow, this is great.  The people in the cars must think I’m nuts.  I saw no other runners, either.  I might be the craziest guy in Eugene! Or maybe one of the happiest.  What happened to the depression I had?

So, when I see an young, former attorney general of a populous state talk about data-driven crime statistics as if this were something new, I get a bit jealous and depressed.  I was pushing this stuff when she was in high school, and we still aren’t doing it the way we should.

Where did I go wrong?  You didn’t, guy.  Many try; few succeed.  Today, nobody, it appeared, tried to run the Pre-Trail.  You did, and you succeeded.  You are now happy, and many who own more would give a lot to feel the way you do.

DAD’S RULES

January 19, 2014

I recently stayed out of an Facebook argument about climate change, unusual, because I usually go to the mat on this issue.

I don’t fight every battle.  Life is too short, and those who insist on fighting every issue to win often live alone. Don’t laugh; I know more than one individual, very strong, who must win at all costs and wonders why they are unmarried.  If there are three words that define a good marriage, I’d pick friendship, respect, and love.  If there are eight more I would be allowed to use in two phrases:, I would pick “yield right of way” and “I could be wrong.” (“You might be right” may be substituted.)

Before I get to the climate issue, here are some rules I learned from my father, which I call Dad’s Rules:

  1. Don’t get into a pissing contest with a skunk.
  2. Don’t argue with those who buy their ink by the barrel; to those of us who are old enough, don’t argue with the press.
  3. If it is a matter of faith, don’t argue.  It’s impolite, and you won’t change their mind.
  4. If it is a matter of fact, but nothing you say will change the other person’s mind, walk away, even if you are called a coward.

I have walked away from debating climate change with two people whom I simply cannot stand–Dad’s Rule #1–at a medical society meeting.  One of the two had immense power, despite promulgating intelligent design, vaccine harm, beneficial effects of low dose radiation, as well as denying climate change. I was an invited columnist; she got 2/3s my space with her letters.  The best way I handled her occurred when she once complained about the government’s decision to regulate physician laboratories:  I replied quietly, “Because my side won the Civil War.”  She literally sputtered and fell silent.  On another occasion, she had attributed a word to me I don’t use, and I quietly called her out on it:  “I don’t believe I used that particular word.  Did anybody else hear me say that?”  The room was quiet.  My detractor was not used to being called out on her words.

The reason I didn’t go to the mat on climate change is that the individual on Facebook once quoted a magazine that I checked and found both inaccurate and extremely biased.  He is unlikely to be influenced by anything I happen to say (Dad’s Rule #4 above).  He is not scientifically trained, quotes articles inaccurately, and his posts attack people.

There is a German organization devoted to helping abused Islamic women. I once supported it strongly, until it quoted this same magazine.  I posted a strong objection then quietly disappeared.  In my view, they had gone beyond the pale; they had pushed Christianity, rather than staying on message, and a woman who screened their Facebook posts frankly insulted me by sending me articles that I reviewed and felt to be biased, inaccurate and impolite.  She is a Christian; I am a “none.”  Go figure.  I couldn’t.

So, what is my view on climate change?

Based on the peer-reviewed data I have seen published and analyzed, I am highly confident that manmade climate change is altering the Earth. The changes not only have already occurred, but will likely affect life as we know it in ways that while we cannot yet know, are likely to be harmful.

Notice my choice of phrases: “peer-reviewed data,” “analyzed,” rather than “this scientist says.”  I use “highly confident,” not “certain”; “altering,” not “ruining”; “life as we know it,” not “everything on the planet,”; ”likely,” not “definitely”; “in ways that we don’t yet know”; not “it is completely clear”; “are likely to be harmful,” not “will definitely harm everybody.”

Notice what I didn’t do in the paragraph:  attack  individuals, political beliefs or companies.  I didn’t state my case with certainty, because that would require my being completely certain I can accurately predict the outcome of a dynamic system, whose complexity and interactions among the variables are not fully known.

Understanding climate is science, the same science that forced Steve Jobs to change the location of an antenna on the iPhone to a place where it would work properly.  Names don’t matter; laws of nature do.  Prayers don’t turn around hurricanes; getting accurate information on their path to people matters.  That is science.  I have nothing against religion; I have seen parents devastated by the death of their daughter be comforted by their belief she was in heaven.  Religion has the ability to provide a road map how to live what we consider a good life.  Religion offers an explanation for how we got here; however, I disagree, because the explanation is testable, and religion fails the test. Science, however, can’t measure faith, hope, love, or charity, which religion promulgates.  Science has, however, measured the consequences of greed, knows consequences to the developing brain if children are malnourished before age 5, shows that educated women past 5th grade have fewer children than uneducated women, measures annual ocean rise to the nearest millimeter, and has reduced the uncertainty of hurricane forecasts about 75%.

I live a scientific life with a lot of spirituality, which may be found in my posts on wilderness.  While to me this melds both well, I could be wrong, and both sides might well say I am a hypocrite.  I am willing to discuss that.

Here are my four requirements to debate climate change (and my possible hypocrisy):

  1. No personal attacks, and that is difficult.  It is why I didn’t mention the name of either the magazine or the German organization, but the latter’s behavior was fact.  I have the emails and articles sent me.
  2. Statement of conclusions using statistical terminology, such as confidence intervals, which cannot never be 100% for a complex system.  A confidence interval is a statistician’s way of saying, “I could be wrong,” something every person should say at least once.  See above on using it to help a relationship.
  3. Verifiable predictions of global climate conditions in the next 5, 10, and 50 years.
  4. Statement of consequences should one be wrong.

I have never gotten past Rule 1 with anybody, and realize now my Facebook post violated Dad’s Rules #1 and #4.  Unfortunately, Dad’s Rule #1 trumped my climate change debate Rule 1.  I’m not perfect.

I wish a few on the other side could say that, too.  The world would be a better place.

Dad, age 90, in Nebraska, viewing the Lesser Sandhill Crane migration.  He lived to see this wonderful spectacle.

Dad, age 90, in Nebraska, viewing the Lesser Sandhill Crane migration. He lived to see this wonderful spectacle.

PART D MEDICARE. FIRST TEST: GRADE D.

December 4, 2013

I apologize to those waiting at Wal-Mart on Wetmore for their prescriptions, while I was on the phone tying up one of the pharmacists.  I know I was inconveniencing you, because she eventually said she had a long line of people waiting, so I got off the phone, in order to give her time.

What happened?  Bad system.

Why?  Good question, and easy to answer, because in large part, nobody in Tucson listened to me when as medical director of a hospital, I said we had to fix bad systems, not punish bad people.  Since then, bad systems helped speed the demise of both my parents and affect every other member of my small family’s medical care. I’ve been through all of that in prior posts: I will stick only to the current problem.

I am on Medicare and needed to sign up for Part D drug benefits. I went online and decided to do it through Humana, which meant Wal-Mart and not CVS.  OK, no problem.  I can drive, rather than walk, to get my medications.

On the Web site where I went, it asked for what year.  I checked 2014, since I wasn’t interested in 2013.  I MADE A MISTAKE.  Or did I?  I was born in December, so I went on Medicare on 1 December.  I needed to sign up for a 2013 plan (December), then sign up for a 2014 plan.  I am quite certain this was not made clear.  The broker whom I used for my supplemental did not make this clear at all.  I am certain of that.  I was told it would be “easy to do”.  What I was not told was, “You have to take care of 2013 before you do 2014.”

Watch what happened.

I signed up for 2014, and I got a lot of paper with an ID card for my 2014 plan.  In the paper, which I try to read,  I learned my drug plan began 1/1/2014, so I said, “Uh oh.  I need coverage for December.”  I could have just paid for it on my own, since I take very few prescription medicines, but that assumes I stay healthy in December and not need a lot of high powered drugs for a ruptured bowel, a traffic accident when I drive to Oregon, or a host of other possibilities.

I called Humana.  I was transferred four times, the fourth back to the original person.  I finally had to explain to them clearly that I was a first time user and not changing my plan.  This is a problem I find far too often in this country.  There is an implicit assumption made, whether it is your car getting fixed or having major surgery, that each person innately understands the key vocabulary.  I did not say the right words, which were, “I am NEW to Medicare.”  That cost me about 20 of the 66 minutes I would spend on the phone.  I explained diagnoses to people.  I explained treatments.  Whether people listened was another matter.  Back then, there were a lot of complaints about how long doctors let patients talk (18 seconds) before interrupting.  I never heard how long patients let ME talk, before interrupting (5-10 seconds).

The next 25 minutes were spent giving out all my personal information, which at least was easy to do.  That led to the last 21 minutes, which was a “phone signature,” which I had never done before.  I have seen 14 total solar eclipses, traveled to 48 countries, published 60 articles, and am well on my way to being bilingual, but I do not know what a phone signature is.  Eventually, that was explained, and I hoped that the telephone system would not crash the whole time I heard a lot of words and had to remember to say “yes” after the prompt.  Starting over was not an option.  I then was accepted, and got the 2013 paperwork, which I added to the 2014 paperwork.

Later, I got another call, this time from Cincinnati, Humana’s headquarters.  Because I had signed up for 2013, now my 2014 plan was invalid, so I had to reapply for 2014.  That was easy, since I had done it before.  The one good thing was that I had a telephone number to call if I had trouble.  I had no trouble.  Why I kept the phone number, I don’t know, but I often save things, although I have trouble finding them later.  Again, I will be sent the same volume of 2014 paper coming, because I originally signed up for it.  This country runs on paper.

On the first of December, I took to the pharmacy the letter that later arrived from Humana, which explicitly stated I had coverage.  The pharmacist at Wal-Mart was efficient, and I inconvenienced virtually nobody.  I was set to get my first Medicare prescription on the sixth.

On the third, I got a call from Wal-Mart, saying my prescription was not ready, for I was not in the system.

I didn’t get incensed.  I was mostly disappointed in that I couldn’t find all the necessary pieces of paper. I thought computerization was going to do away with paper; it has increased it vastly, until recently, when with great fanfare companies send electronic prospectuses and tout how many trees they are saving. I think a prospectus ought to be limited to the following: “we can take all your money, and there is nothing you can do about it.”  But back to Wal-Mart, where I’m keeping people waiting.

I gave all the numbers I needed to, but there was still a problem.  As I saw it, once I cancelled 2014, somewhere in the system 2013 was cancelled, too.  At that point, the pharmacist begged off to serve other people.  I didn’t blame her.  Had I been waiting, I would have been annoyed, too.  Sorry, folks.

Somewhere, in the pile of paper, I got lucky and \found the number in Cincinnati.  I called the woman, told her my problem, and she said I was in the system.  So, I can only think that Wal-Mart hadn’t called.  I can’t think of another reason.  I called Wal-Mart back and gave them the number in Cincinnati.  This at least will save the pharmacist time, since the person (1) will know about me and (2) will assure her that I am in the system.

I have to hope the two of them don’t comment on what a bastard I was to deal with over the phone, a retired physician, whom nobody listened to when he discussed broken systems, a bitter old man, but one who WAS ultimately right, who ONCE again had to find the short term fix.

Welcome to American medicine.  Part D, by the way, is not Mr. Obama’s fault.

ÄRZTEPFUSCH

November 25, 2013

A German movie made me cry.  It was the first time I had ever cried because of what I saw in the language I am teaching myself.

The movie:  Engel der Gerechtigkeit Ärztepfusch, or Justice Angel for Doctor Screw Ups, I found exceedingly moving.  The ending was beautiful. I knew music could be powerful; I had no idea the effect it could have on me. I was in tears, and I didn’t care.  I cry, and when I let go, I feel perhaps more human than at any other time.

I’ve seen the ending at least 40 times.  For the next week, it is on zdf.de (24 November).

The movie opened with a woman standing in the middle of railroad tracks, wondering whether to commit suicide.  Later, we learn why, as she comes out of the shower, learning that she had breast cancer, and the wrong breast was removed.  She had therefore a double mastecomy, brief clips being shown of ugly scars where her breasts once were. The woman had to pay for the surgery, had no recourse to justice, until she finally met the lawyer.

The hospital stonewalled, saying the doctor was Spanish, didn’t speak German, and no longer lived in Germany.  The fact that nobody else spoke up, in the OR or anywhere else may be surprising to some, but the culture of silence of medical errors in Germany may parallel that here in the US, where I saw errors hidden, denied, and blamed, in some instances, upon me, as medical director of a hospital.

Back to the movie:  at the end, the lawyer for the woman said she would go to the press before the end of the day.  The hospital administrator said that he would allow the breast reconstruction, but no blame was to be levied.  The lawyer started to think, then smiled, and the music began.  The lawyer walked to the dry cleaners, where the woman and her husband worked.  In the crowd of people waiting for clothes, the woman spotted the lawyer, who had a smile on her face.  The husband, working, looked up, surprised.  The woman said, “Enschuldigen Sie mich, bitte” (excuse me, please) and came to the lawyer.

“The operation will be next week. The papers were signed.”  The woman was stunned, the music continued, as the woman broke down and hugged the lawyer.  The smile on her husband’s face was wonderful.  It was an incredibly powerful scene.

I saw three cases of wrong side surgery during my time as Medical Director of the hospital–the wrong knee, the wrong side of the colon, and the wrong side of the brain.  The last, I had to explain to the woman’s friend, since the woman had no family.  The internist taking the case wasn’t told and was so angry, he signed off the case, without finding another physician.  This unethical practice was not uncommon where I worked, where it meant that I had to find somebody–sometimes myself–to take over.  My colleagues never sanctioned the physician.  Indeed, at a Medical Executive Committee meeting in 1998, one blamed me for taking care of a patient who had no doctor.  I left the meeting, went outside where nobody could see me and cried.  That is the medical culture I was part of.

I was told by the head of the OR that 99.9% of the cases had no problem.  No, I retorted, it was 99,99% of cases, and per cents didn’t matter, counts did.  There are certain things where the counts should be 0, not a high percentage of successes.  The hospital administrator used the same words, and the lawyer pointed out 160,000 cases of errors and 20,000 deaths in Germany every year.  Wow.  They count.

Medicine here never really changed.  We have at least 20 wrong side cases annually nationwide.  True to medicine, everybody began his or her own process for ensuring safety, which of course meant in some places the proper limb or breast was marked for surgery, or the improper one was marked.  This leads to confusion as well.

When I objected to just a letter being sent to the neurosurgeon, I was told I was no longer welcome to attend department of surgery quality assurance meetings.  At first, I was incensed, because I knew about systems, and my knowledge should have been desired, not forbidden.  I also had discovered our carotid endarterectomy complication was far too high to warrant surgery.  I literally was screamed at, when my data were presented. My patients got statistics, probability, and my recommendation; other patients were not told of these risks.

After I left medicine, my mother refused a CT scan after a fall, and we were not told of the refusal  When she later died of dementia, we discovered during her final illness that originally she had refused the scan.  I was furious and published an article about it in Medical Economics.  My father, before he died, had weeping edema, swelling so bad that it went through the skin of his legs.  The nurses called it a weak heart, when in fact low protein in his blood caused the problem–simple osmosis.  Had he been diuresed, he would have become hypovolemic and died.  He did die, but from pneumonia.  I had to tell the Nursing Home Director that I was not the enemy, but I was trying to be my father’s advocate. My oldest brother had a brain tumor missed, causing him blindness in one eye.  He was a professional photographer. I had a medical error occur in me.

Engel Gerichtigkeit was only a movie, but it was powerful and beautiful; the medicine well portrayed. 

In 2001, I developed a reporting system for medical errors. Sadly, I was naive enough to believe I could implement it.  Looking back, I didn’t have a chance against the entrenched system of hospital and medical associations.  I wrote legislation for two years for the Arizona House, with 10 co-sponsors but went nowhere.  Doctors shunned me.  One response was, “We aren’t like aviation.”

“Yes, “ I replied. “Aviation deals with their problems honestly.  You sweep them under the rug.”

ARCHAIC WORD

November 21, 2013

In order to understand what follows, one must know that within seconds, I can go to the garage and find thank you notes written to me in the past 40 years, when I practiced medicine.  These notes were handwritten, a word that has almost been extirpated from the English language, now that we have the noun/verb e-mail.

********************************************************************************

It surprised me that day in Eugene.  I headed out for a 5 k run, a daily occurrence, and 200 meters into it, I got a sharp pain in my right patella.  It wasn’t too bad, but it bothered me, for I have never had problems with my knees.  For sixty-five years, they have climbed mountains, hiked Alaska, carried 65 kg down the middle of a Canadian river, walked thousands of kilometers, skied tens of thousands, pedaled a hundred thousand, bent as I drove more than a million, and been my friends.

I finished the run, but the knee hurt.  I took some anti-inflammatories and walked 3 km to dinner and then back.  I shouldn’t have done it, but I refused to believe my knee was betraying me.  I walked, but neither my knee nor the rest of me was happy.

The next two days, I didn’t run, but I still walked to dinner.  I was a little better.  OK, I thought, this is good.  I hiked 16 km with 300 meters elevation gain with virtually no pain.  I was happy.  I drove back to Tucson and ran 5 k again.  I was fine, until I returned home after the second day’s running.  The pain was back.

I stopped running.  For a half century I have run on a regular basis.  I think perhaps 5 times I have had to stop for some time, never for knee pain.  For the next three weeks I walked and walked, took anti-inflammatories, and my knee improved.  I was going to Uganda for the eclipse, and I did not want a bad knee to hurt the trip.

Shortly before I left, I decided to test my knee by running a few steps on it.  I am capable of remarkable denial and irrational thinking.

The third day of the test, all was going so well that I ran 60 steps three times.  I did fine.  I wish I hadn’t done a fourth.  The pain was back, and I was soon on my way to Uganda with tight connections and a bad leg.  Fortunately, I did well on the trip, because I was sitting in a vehicle most of the time.  But one day, we walked in a rain forest up and down hills.  The pain was back.  When I arrived in Houston on the way home, I took an escalator rather than the stairs.  I NEVER take escalators voluntarily.

Before I went to Uganda, I did have the good sense to make an appointment for after the trip with an orthopedist whom I have known for 30 years.  I figured I would not need the appointment; I thought I would get better.  Suddenly, I was really glad I made it.  My knee was stable and not swollen, but all sorts of things went through my head.  Could I have torn something?  Do I need an MRI or surgery?  Will I ever run again? What is going on?  A former physician, these thoughts and others went through my mind.

The orthopedist entered the room and asked if I had been hiking.  Well, sort of, until recently, I replied.  He listened to me carefully, nodding like he had seen this before.  He had me lie down and put my knee into full extension.  I had done this, but I did not have long enough arms to do what he was able to do.

OUCH!  He found the spot I had been searching for.  “Patellofemoral syndrome,” he said, rather nonchalantly.  “I’ll inject it and give you some Sulindac.”  Wow, that was quick.  He injected, without saying whether it would hurt, because he knew it wouldn’t, said he was done, and told me what to do.  From start to finish, the entire procedure took 10 minutes.  Maybe.  The pain was gone.

The physician is an elder.  He has been practicing for as long as I did plus an additional 20 years since I quit.  He has seen this condition many times.  I wish we could capture his experience and use it in the medical community.  He did something simple to him, an everyday procedure, but to me his reassurance was immense.  I never felt I did much of that as a neurologist.

But then I thought about that feeling a little more.  Early one morning, a quarter century ago, the same orthopedist called me and said he thought he was having a stroke.  He had horrible dizziness and asked if I could see him soon.  I told him to come into the office right then.  I practiced in reverse order.  If I and the patient were both ready, I saw the patient, and the paperwork came later.  Patient care came before paperwork, if I had the choice.  It drove my receptionist crazy, but I wouldn’t have done it any differently.

I knew what the orthopedist had before I had hung up the phone: positional vertigo.  I confirmed it in the office, reassured him, and was fortunate in retrospect that he didn’t need vertigo exercises, which hadn’t yet been invented.  He had no stroke, didn’t need a CT scan, and MRI wasn’t around then.  I had seen this condition a lot.

He was reassured.  I doubt he remembers that day, but you know, unless I tell him thank you for what he did, he will never know how much I appreciated what he did for me.  I will remember this day, and I will make sure he will, too.  I’m not completely sure what I will do this holiday season.  But I know I will handwrite a thank you note.  No e-mail.  The verb is “to handwrite,”  archaic today, which while sad, enhances the strength of the verb.  Oh, does it enhance the strength.

If the orthopedist is like me, he will save it.  Perhaps it may make his day, as he made mine.

DR. NONEG

October 11, 2013

When I was medical director of a hospital, I dealt with a Dr. Noneg, a prominent member of the medical staff.  Noneg entered practice near the time as I was changing my role to hospital medical director from neurologist.  Because of personality clashes, he soon left the practice that hired him.  He wouldn’t budge on his demands, but he was new to the practice, so there were choices, but not very good ones.  He could lessen his demands, or he could leave.  He left and began his own practice.  He was against insurance companies, as many were, and for some time got a great deal of press because of his outspokenness.

Noneg occasionally practiced outside his field.  When we were both in practice, he handled carotid artery disease cases, something I believed then and now only a neurologist should do.  Since 1984, I had tracked outcomes and referred my patients to only one surgeon, whose outcomes were slightly better than untreated disease.  I made my data available, but the local surgical community slammed me for my data and approach.  I was the only one to deal with this issue using outcomes at my local hospital.  Dr. Noneg did not.  He handled MS cases, which an internist can, but really a neurologist should.  For me, it was a matter of doing what is best for the patient; I wasn’t protecting my turf. Indeed, I wanted less work, not more.

Noneg and I clashed when it came to coverage of the emergency department at night.  Many patients who come to the emergency department don’t have physicians.  If it were a particular specialty, that patient would be assigned to the physician on call for that speciality.  Each physician was on call in a rotation that lasted a month, and several of us had several months a year we had to take new patients.  When one was building a practice, this was a way to do it, unless, of course, the patient couldn’t pay for the services.  I wrote off $30,000 a year in unpaid bills for over a decade.  It was considered normal, but I made good money in spite of it.

Noneg didn’t like this coverage arrangement, and he convinced many of his colleagues that the hospital should pay for such, $500 a night per specialty.  Needless to say, this would have been a great expense for the hospital, since there were at least ten specialties a night that would need payment.  Noneg wouldn’t negotiate.  Not a bit.  In many ways, he reminded me of the Republican Party.  There was no give or take.  If you did what he wanted, he was a nice guy.  If you didn’t, he was an enemy.  Had the hospital capitulated, I certainly would have been laid off, which I could have dealt with, but then the physicians would have had to deal with their issues (yelling at nurses, turf wars) themselves, which physicians, for all their power, are loath to do.  By the way, physician behavioral issues were the single biggest problem I faced as medical director.  I counted.  “Administration is the problem,” was said, until there was a thorny issue, and then “administration needs to fix it.”  Substitute “government” for administration, and you have a common national refrain.   We hate government, until a Cat 5 or an EF4 devastates our town, and then we can’t have enough of it.

Back then, we had nurses from managed care companies review patient charts to see if continued care was necessary in the hospital.  On the one hand, it was a physician’s decision whether or not to discharge a patient, not an insurance company’s.  On the other hand, many physicians would write “Doing well” for days, without any indication of why if the patient were doing so well why they needed hospitalization.  Hospital resources were consumed, not the physician’s worry.  But if somebody is paying the bills, that somebody usually wants to have some control over the costs involved.

An additional issue with utilization occurred in winter, because the city had an influx of visitors, and hospital beds were in short supply.  Getting patients discharged was necessary to allow new admissions, otherwise having to go on “divert,” which was not good for the city.  It was not uncommon for patients to stay in the Emergency Department 24 hours, no bed being available.  This was not good care.  When we didn’t have a bed, because a physician hadn’t visited that day, the physician said the patient wasn’t ready to go, without any documentation in the chart, or because the person covering for a physician refused to make a decision, we had one less bed we could fill.  Dr. Noneg responded to the notes from managed care nurses, polite as they were, with a simple “Drop Dead.”

In a hospital, that is not particularly funny.  Nor was it helpful.

Dr. Noneg persuaded his colleagues that the care of emergency department patients was the hospital’s problem, and the physicians stopped accepting them.  Accordingly, the hospital hired people willing to practice in the hospital full-time, called hospitalists.  They took care of these patients, and during their stay, found a physician willing to care for them after discharge.  I would have liked that job: regular hours, taking care of sick patients, then not having to manage their problems in the office afterwards.

Soon, hospitalists started caring for more and more inpatients.  For some physicians, who were very busy in their office, this was a good idea.  For others, who found that they were no longer going to be able to take care of their patients in the hospital, this was resisted.  The state medical association tried to intervene, but when physicians give up control of taking care of emergency patients, sometimes there are consequences.

Not negotiating has consequences outside of medicine.  It has tied Congress in knots over a host of issues, all of which could be dealt with given some creative thinking and a little willingness to let the other side have something.  But if you are Dr. Noneg, or a member of the Tea Party, you simply don’t negotiate.  Maybe the other guy caves, maybe not.  I learned early in life that the world isn’t going to do what I demand it do.  I had a lot of temper tantrums.  Some apparently do not learn that.

Eventually, Dr. Noneg set up a boutique practice, where he would be available 24/7 for his patients, each of whom paid him $1500 a year.  It wasn’t for the money that Dr. No did this, of course, except whenever somebody says it isn’t for the money, it is always for the money.  Dr. Noneg tried to have his patients jump the queue in Emergency Departments, but one soon learns in medicine that ED physicians and nurses are extremely strong-willed individuals who work in a high stress environment and deal with it well.  They don’t negotiate, either.  Dr. Noneg lost, and his patients had to wait.  The $1500 didn’t cover hospital or consultant costs, although I suspect–but cannot prove–many patients thought it would.

A while back, I got a call at home from Noneg’s office, wanting “my staff” to pull a chart of a patient I had once treated.  I haven’t practiced in over 20 years, and my charts, if still intact, would have remained with my group.  I was surprised that Noneg didn’t know that.

I was also surprised he didn’t demand I produce the charts. That would have been an interesting negotiation.  I would have enjoyed it.  But the world doesn’t always work the way I want it to.

LIKE LOCUSTS DESCENDING ON A FIELD OF WHEAT

July 23, 2013

Forty years ago, I was sold a $50,000 Whole Life insurance policy that cost me $750 a year in premiums.  When I cashed it out last year, it was worth about $84,000.  This is a rate of return well below 2%, and I paid the premium for several years.  It was a bad investment.  It was a good deal for the broker.

Back then, I didn’t know how to say no.  I was a first year medical student.  Life insurance salesmen descended on medical students like locusts on a wheat field, asking each one to give a couple other names of fellow students.  I refused to do that. Credit card companies in 1975 wouldn’t give me a card, when I became a physician (no way students ever got credit cards back then), because I was only an intern earning $10,000 a year.

I would have been much better off buying a 20-year $1 million term policy that I could afford. Every young married couple should have term insurance.  This is a time when people are usually healthy, their incomes are low, their debts are high, they may have children, and sudden death can devastate the survivors.   They can afford $500,000 term policies.  A whole life policy of that size is unaffordable.

Insurance salesman, however, make more money selling whole life policies, so that is why I got one.  It was an introduction to the world of people acting in their own self-interest. Having a fiduciary responsibility to a client means one does what is best for the client, not what is best for the provider’s income. As a physician, I had a fiduciary responsibility to do what was best for my patients, not me.  It meant that I got up at 2 or 3 a.m. to treat a drunk who had fallen, or a guy who had gone off his motorcycle and wasn’t wearing a helmet.  I was spat upon, had to hold a drunk still in a CT scanner, where the scans took a half hour to do, not a few seconds, yelled at, often not paid, but  able to be sued if I screwed up.  The next day, I was exhausted and functioned at a level of being legally drunk. Back then, in the “good old days,” doctors worked while exhausted.  I said at the time it was wrong, and I was slammed by my partners for saying so, because good doctors functioned well for 36 hours straight.  Research long ago showed that notion to be false.

Over the years, I have made many financial and medical mistakes:  I invested in a few REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts), but not many.  I had suspicions that something was amiss in 2007, but I listened to my financial adviser explain them away.  He gave me an article by a Wharton professor, who ensured the reader that 2008 would be a great year. Financial advisors cannot be given carte blanche. I was executor of my father’s estate, and half of the legal advice I received was wrong.  Even the lawyers can’t understand our financial system, which is in my view deliberately made complex.

Credit card debt is a major problem and a classic example of how lack of regulation allowed banks to do well at the literal expense of their customers.  I pay the balance off every month.  Always. By doing so, I get an interest free loan from the bank.  Credit card debt has astronomical interest rates that only recently have been made public.  Many think that making the minimum payment on a credit card is all they need to do.  It is not.  The interest is charged on the full amount.

A brief comment on rate of return.  One will hear that a security has a 4% rate of return.  That rate does not include fees to buy and sell the security, nor does it include the taxes one pays on the gains.  It isn’t dishonest for the financial community to do so, but it isn’t realistic, either.  If I make $1000 on a stock but pay $400 in taxes and $50 in fees, I haven’t made $1000; I have made $550.  My wife and I had a house in rural Arizona.  We sold it for double of what it cost to build it, but after fees on both ends and capital gains taxes, over 20 years our rate of return was 1.8%.  That is a real rate of return:  money we had.  The doubling was simply a number, before costs of selling and taxes were factored in.   I take my net worth and multiply it by 70%, and that is my real net worth, because selling everything will be taxed.

I recently watched a story on Suze Orman about a 69 year-old woman, whose husband’s pension died with him.  She had a house underwater in Florida, and she was nearly destitute.  Indeed, she was living on social security, as do many Americans.  What happens to them if we “privatize it”?  Like the insurance agents descending on medical students, financial experts will descend upon the elderly.  Good looks and saying what people want to hear trump truth and fiduciary responsibility for the buyer’s best interests. A lot of elderly can’t understand finances and money, don’t think clearly, and are going to get burned.

I made many financial mistakes, and I teach math.  We don’t value math teaching and teachers;  the financial industry exists to do three things very well:  take your money in the form of high fees, move it around electronically, and generate paper.  Research has shown little value to society to moving money, compared to, say–a teacher.  I receive thousands of pages of financial paper annually (I sampled and made inferences), most of which are not understandable. I don’t have the time to read it.  Can you imagine how a poorly educated 80 year-old will handle it?  The few million words I get basically can be summarized with 12:  “you might lose all your money and we are not at fault.” Every other week, I receive a class action lawsuit notification about some company, often 4-5 copies, each 20 or so pages.   I have to decide whether to throw it away or try to research when I bought the stock and how long I held it.  I used to look up the information, but when the suit was settled in my favor, I got vouchers for something the company made.  I throw this stuff away now.  At least I can recycle it.

If I, a mathematician, who can tell you right away what the doubling, and tripling time of money is for a given interest rate is (divide the interest rate into 72, and 110 respectively, and the quotient is the number of years), cannot understand much of American finance, what chance does an elderly woman who has just been widowed have?  Or a young person out of school?  Mortgages should require a 20% downpayment and consume no more than 1/3 your income.  You don’t throw away money on rent; you have somebody else taking care of things that break, and you can leave when you want to.

Many live only on Social Security, never its intention, but now their only choice.  Many in Congress would like to destroy it and privatize Medicare, because the “market” will do a better job.  In Ayn Rand’s mythical world, the market does well.  In the real world of greed and grab, birth defects, viruses, auto accidents–heck, appendicitis–the market needs regulation, which it isn’t getting.  The “market makers” almost took down the world’s economy in 2008.  Many of them got bonuses worth more than I made in my lifetime for doing it, and I practiced medicine. Five years later, we still are not back to where we should be, many will never recover, and we are talking about removing the safety nets from those who need it the most.

While the paper continues to flow into my mailbox.

BELIEVING IS SEEING

June 14, 2013

My wife read a CT Scan of the heart recently, done to check coronary artery calcification, and told the referring physician the patient had breast cancer.

Whoa!  What does that have to do with heart disease?  The answer: nothing, and that is the point: we need radiologists to read films formally and not clinicians, and I say that as a former clinician who read CT head scans really well.  It’s fine for a medical group to have its own X-Ray facility and for clinicians to read the images.  But every image must have a formal reading by a radiologist, for that individual is both unbiased and trained to look at everything on the image, every corner, every part.  There is no law in nature that says a person will have one thing wrong.  It is entirely possible for a neurologist to look at an MRI of the spine and miss a large abdominal aortic aneurysm.  We see what we expect to see.  Seeing isn’t believing.  Believing is seeing.  We believe something, and we tend to look for it.

On a CT scan, there is a side view, which shows the skin.  This isn’t a mammogram, but it certainly is capable of showing a breast cancer.  In addition to the breast cancer, there was a “ground glass” area in the lung suggesting there might be an early lung cancer, too.  Wow. A CT scan of the heart is done for coronary disease, and two other systems have primary cancers.  Maybe the cardiologist would have found those, but I doubt it.  I doubt when I read CT scans of the head that I would have found a throat cancer, even though the throat was scanned and on the film.

In my defense, I was once sent a patient with leg pain, with a concern that this was due to pinched nerve in the back.  The lady had pain near the knee, but it was point tender, and I obtained a bone scan, looking for a fracture.  I found a hairline fracture of the proximal  tibia.  I got a lot of pleasure diagnosing something correctly out of my field.  Most specialists do.  There is a cardiologist in town, whom I met 31 years ago when he was new here.  I had seen a man in the emergency department who had driven 2500 km to Arizona and presented with sudden, brief unconsciousness.  I saw him and noted he seemed to be breathing a little faster than normal.  I obtained an arterial blood gas and found pronounced hypoxia.  Thinking that a cardiac arrhythmia would cause unconsciousness (strokes seldom do), and thinking of pulmonary emboli as a cause of both that and hypoxia, I did a lung scan, since that is what we did back then, and there were pulmonary emboli, because of leg clots that occurred during prolonged sitting on his drive to Arizona from Minnesota.  The cardiologist happened to be present, and I referred the patient to him.

Several years later, one of that cardiologist’s partners referred a patient to me on whom he had diagnosed an occipital lobe infarct.  For a neurologist, that is not difficult, but I was impressed the cardiologist had picked it up.  Most non-neurologists miss it.

So when the MRI of my neck was unchanged from 9 years ago, that was good news, I was a bit chagrined, however, when the radiologist told me that I had a significant thyroid nodule.  It never occurred to me look for thyroid disease on my MRI.  It is sort of like people’s being surprised when I tell them the Moon is visible in broad daylight.  “It is?” they say.

“It’s there, isn’t it?”  I reply.  The thyroid nodule was quite present.  Once I looked, there it was, plain as can be, like the first quarter Moon in the southeastern sky in the afternoon.  Try finding the Moon in daylight, sometime, if you haven’t seen it.  You will discover a whole new world–literally., and wonder why you never noticed it before.  That’s the problem.  We notice only what we are willing to notice.  Once we are willing to notice many things, a brand new world opens up to us.  Like the Moon, or even Venus, which you can often see in broad daylight, if you know where to look.

Look around you.  See, smell, touch, hear, and taste the world.  Notice things.  Life becomes very interesting when you do.

Even when you have an “interesting” thyroid nodule.  By the way, it was benign.

THE TERM IS NEITHER “PASS ON” NOR “EXPIRE”. THE VERB IS “TO DIE” AND THE NOUN IS “DEATH”

May 11, 2013

A 90 year-old man presents in an emergency department with abdominal pain and is found to have an abdominal mass.  It is likely he has colonic cancer with impending perforation.  He refuses colonoscopy, and he refuses surgery. “I am ready to die,” the man says, who is competent.  The surgeons think they can help him.  The man refuses again.  The surgeons say that without surgery, this will be a painful way to die.

This scenario is being played out as I write in a nearby city.  I was asked, as a former member of a hospital ethics committee, what I would do.

It’s difficult to say, without really talking to the patient and whatever family members are available.  I don’t know whether the man has a living will or a health care power of attorney.  If you don’t have either, I would do so at the earliest possible opportunity.  Don’t think because you are in your 20s, this isn’t an issue.  Accidents can leave people in permanent coma; Terri Schiavo, Nancy Cruzan, and Karen Ann Quinlan were all young, when a catastrophic event left each of them vegetative.

If the man is truly competent, he has the right to his decision.  Patients have the right to refuse things that we physicians think they ought to have.  This doesn’t hold for children, and more than one physician has given blood to a Jehovah’s Witness.  But one is on shaky ground to treat a competent patient who has refused such treatment.

That doesn’t mean we have to take care of that patient for that particular illness.  I had people refuse to take anti-convulsants for epilepsy.  I said that I would provide a list of physicians to whom they could go, and they had 30 days to do so.  I could not, in good conscience, have a patient whom I thought was a danger to himself and others be under my care, yet refuse my recommendations.  But, I also would not, as some did, fire the patient and dump the case on the hospital medical director, which more than one time happened to me.

The “painful death” part disturbed me.  Yes, peritonitis is painful.  So is colonic surgery, with a colostomy likely, and the possibility of further surgery, poor healing, infection, or pulmonary complications, for major surgery on a 90 year-old will be complicated by definition.

We can control pain.  We have palliative medicine physicians, and we have hospice.  There is no reason for somebody to die in horrible pain.  There are those who worry about addiction to morphine, which would be laughable in a dying patient, if the problem weren’t laughable and people really didn’t say that.  But they do.  We have a conflicting dichotomy in this country:  hospitalized patients are asked constantly about how much pain they are having.  Once you are an outpatient, then narcotics are bad things.  Oh, it isn’t quite that simple; however, the truth is not all that distant, either.  This dichotomy is grist for another mill.

There are others who worry that we will kill somebody by giving them so much morphine that they will stop breathing.  Morphine depresses respiration, but if a patient dies by receiving too much morphine, isn’t that in fact what was going to happen anyway?  What in the world are we so afraid of?

Death.

Not passing away, not going on to a “better place,” not “expiring”.  Death.  Dying.  Ceasing to exist as a human being.  I always used the term “death” in talking to families.  I wasn’t always popular, but I was far more often respected by people I cared about than I was despised by those whom I did not respect.

Yes, I do worry about contracting certain conditions.  I know medicine, and I know what can befall the human body.  But I am also worried about being kept alive when I would not want to be.  If I am vegetative, I wouldn’t be aware of it by definition, but it would be hell on my wife, and I would not want her to go through that.

I worry a great deal that I might end up in an ICU with a bunch of “keep him alive at all costs” folks working on me, long after it is obvious that the result will be poor and counter to my living will.  I worry that somebody will point out a “miraculous cure after 20 years in coma,” when in fact the person was vegetative and happened to smile, which vegetative people do.  I do not want my name associated with a court case, like the three women I mentioned above.  Nor do I want to hear “you never really know what will happen,” when we do know with extremely high probability what will happen. The best thing I did in medicine was not curing people, for I did little of that.  The best thing I did was allow people to die when it was time.  I knew when it was time, not to “give up,” but to accept reality.

The next day, both hospice and palliative care people talked to the man and his family.  He died soon afterwards.  For me, he no longer exists.  For others, he has gone to a better place, and they have memories of a long, happy life.  For all of us, he is no longer suffering.